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Sunday 4 December 2016, 17:15 AEL FC Arena Full time
1–2
HT 0–1
38% 30% 32%
Home win
37.9%
Draw
30.2%
Away win
31.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa 37.9% 2.64
Draw 30.2% 3.31
Atromitos 31.8% 3.14

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.7% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.3% 8.84
Over 1.5 66.6% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.4% 3.00
Over 2.5 39.1% 2.55
Under 2.5 60.9% 1.64
Over 3.5 19.1% 5.23
Under 3.5 80.9% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.8% 12.76
Under 4.5 92.2% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.4% 2.16
No 53.6% 1.86

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa / Draw 68.2% 1.47
Larisa / Atromitos 69.8% 1.43
Draw / Atromitos 62.1% 1.61

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.3
10.4
6.0
2.1
0.6
0.1
1
11.7
14.1
7.1
2.5
0.7
0.1
2
7.4
7.9
4.2
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
2.9
3.1
1.7
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.9
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Larisa goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.