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Sunday 23 October 2016, 18:15 Zosimades National Stadium Full time
PAS Giannina
4–0
HT 2–0
Larisa
53% 26% 20%
Home win
53.2%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
20.4%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina 53.2% 1.88 — —
Draw 26.4% 3.79 — —
Larisa 20.4% 4.91 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.1% 1.10 — —
Under 0.5 8.9% 11.24 — —
Over 1.5 72.0% 1.39 — —
Under 1.5 28.0% 3.57 — —
Over 2.5 45.7% 2.19 — —
Under 2.5 54.3% 1.84 — —
Over 3.5 24.3% 4.12 — —
Under 3.5 75.7% 1.32 — —
Over 4.5 10.9% 9.16 — —
Under 4.5 89.1% 1.12 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.1% 2.08 — —
No 51.9% 1.93 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina / Draw 79.6% 1.26 — —
PAS Giannina / Larisa 73.6% 1.36 — —
Draw / Larisa 46.8% 2.14 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.9
6.7
3.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
12.4
12.5
5.3
1.6
0.4
0.1
2
10.5
9.5
4.3
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
5.6
5.1
2.3
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
2.3
2.0
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAS Giannina goals. Columns: Larisa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

PAS Giannina
W W L D W
Larisa
D L W D L

Head to head

May 2021 Larisa 2-0 PAS Giannina Jan 2021 Larisa 0-0 PAS Giannina Nov 2020 PAS Giannina 1-2 Larisa Mar 2019 PAS Giannina 0-0 Larisa Nov 2018 Larisa 2-0 PAS Giannina Apr 2018 PAS Giannina 0-0 Larisa

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.