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Sunday 25 September 2016, 20:30 AEL FC Arena Full time
8% 14% 78%
Home win
7.9%
Draw
14.2%
Away win
77.9%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa 7.9% 12.64
Draw 14.2% 7.03
Olympiakos Piraeus 77.9% 1.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.9% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.1% 32.35
Over 1.5 87.9% 1.14
Under 1.5 12.2% 8.23
Over 2.5 69.8% 1.43
Under 2.5 30.2% 3.31
Over 3.5 48.6% 2.06
Under 3.5 51.4% 1.94
Over 4.5 29.4% 3.40
Under 4.5 70.6% 1.42

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.8% 1.89
No 47.2% 2.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa / Draw 22.1% 4.52
Larisa / Olympiakos Piraeus 85.8% 1.17
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 92.1% 1.09

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.1
7.2
10.6
9.8
6.8
3.8
1
1.9
6.6
8.6
8.0
5.6
3.1
2
0.9
2.5
3.5
3.3
2.3
1.3
3
0.2
0.7
1.0
0.9
0.6
0.3
4
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Larisa goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.