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Wednesday 6 April 2016, 19:30 Kaftanzoglio Stadio Full time
13% 25% 63%
Home win
12.7%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
62.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Iraklis 12.7% 7.88
Draw 24.7% 4.05
Olympiakos Piraeus 62.6% 1.60

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.5% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.5% 9.48
Over 1.5 67.8% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.2% 3.10
Over 2.5 40.7% 2.46
Under 2.5 59.3% 1.69
Over 3.5 20.3% 4.93
Under 3.5 79.7% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.5% 11.76
Under 4.5 91.5% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.4% 2.60
No 61.6% 1.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Iraklis / Draw 37.4% 2.68
Iraklis / Olympiakos Piraeus 75.3% 1.33
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 87.3% 1.15

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.5
16.1
14.1
8.0
3.4
1.1
1
5.5
11.0
8.8
5.0
2.1
0.7
2
1.9
3.2
2.7
1.5
0.7
0.2
3
0.4
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Iraklis goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.