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Sunday 18 September 2016, 20:30 Kaftanzoglio Stadio Full time
13% 25% 62%
Home win
13.4%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
61.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Iraklis 13.4% 7.49
Draw 24.8% 4.04
Olympiakos Piraeus 61.9% 1.62

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.8% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.2% 9.76
Over 1.5 68.5% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.5% 3.18
Over 2.5 41.5% 2.41
Under 2.5 58.5% 1.71
Over 3.5 20.9% 4.78
Under 3.5 79.1% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.9% 11.26
Under 4.5 91.1% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.7% 2.52
No 60.3% 1.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Iraklis / Draw 38.1% 2.62
Iraklis / Olympiakos Piraeus 75.2% 1.33
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 86.7% 1.15

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.2
15.6
13.7
7.7
3.3
1.1
1
5.6
11.2
9.0
5.0
2.1
0.7
2
2.0
3.4
2.9
1.6
0.7
0.2
3
0.4
0.7
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
4
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Iraklis goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.