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Sunday 18 September 2016, 18:15 Kerkyra Stadium Full time
2–0
HT 2–0
56% 23% 20%
Home win
56.5%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
20.1%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra 56.5% 1.77
Draw 23.5% 4.26
Larisa 20.1% 4.98

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.2% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.8% 17.14
Over 1.5 80.0% 1.25
Under 1.5 20.0% 5.01
Over 2.5 56.7% 1.76
Under 2.5 43.3% 2.31
Over 3.5 34.3% 2.92
Under 3.5 65.7% 1.52
Over 4.5 17.7% 5.64
Under 4.5 82.3% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.1% 1.78
No 43.9% 2.28

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra / Draw 79.9% 1.25
AOK Kerkyra / Larisa 76.5% 1.31
Draw / Larisa 43.5% 2.30

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.8
4.9
2.9
1.0
0.3
0.1
1
9.3
11.1
5.5
1.9
0.5
0.1
2
9.4
9.9
5.2
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
6.0
6.3
3.3
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
2.8
3.0
1.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: AOK Kerkyra goals. Columns: Larisa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.