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Monday 27 April 2015, 19:30 Pankritio Stadio Full time
45% 29% 26%
Home win
44.8%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
26.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis 44.8% 2.23
Draw 29.0% 3.45
AOK Kerkyra 26.2% 3.81

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.5% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.5% 9.56
Over 1.5 68.5% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.5% 3.17
Over 2.5 41.3% 2.42
Under 2.5 58.7% 1.70
Over 3.5 20.8% 4.81
Under 3.5 79.2% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.8% 11.39
Under 4.5 91.2% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.1% 2.12
No 52.9% 1.89

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis / Draw 73.8% 1.36
Ergotelis / AOK Kerkyra 71.0% 1.41
Draw / AOK Kerkyra 55.2% 1.81

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.5
8.7
4.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
12.4
13.6
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
8.9
8.7
4.3
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
4.0
3.9
1.9
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
1.4
1.3
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Ergotelis goals. Columns: AOK Kerkyra goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.