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Saturday 19 November 2011, 17:15 Stadio Kerkyras Full time
32% 30% 39%
Home win
31.7%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
38.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra 31.7% 3.15
Draw 29.6% 3.37
Ergotelis 38.7% 2.59

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.5% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.5% 9.51
Over 1.5 68.4% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.6% 3.16
Over 2.5 41.2% 2.43
Under 2.5 58.8% 1.70
Over 3.5 20.7% 4.84
Under 3.5 79.3% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.7% 11.45
Under 4.5 91.3% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.0% 2.08
No 52.0% 1.92

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra / Draw 61.3% 1.63
AOK Kerkyra / Ergotelis 70.4% 1.42
Draw / Ergotelis 68.3% 1.46

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.5
11.2
7.4
3.1
0.9
0.2
1
9.9
13.9
8.1
3.4
1.0
0.3
2
5.8
7.2
4.4
1.8
0.6
0.1
3
2.1
2.6
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.1
4
0.6
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AOK Kerkyra goals. Columns: Ergotelis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.