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Sunday 2 October 2011, 16:00 Stadio Zosimades Full time
76% 12% 12%
Home win
75.6%
Draw
12.2%
Away win
12.2%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina 75.6% 1.32
Draw 12.2% 8.20
AOK Kerkyra 12.2% 8.18

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 99.4% 1.01
Under 0.5 0.6% 175.13
Over 1.5 97.5% 1.03
Under 1.5 2.5% 39.68
Over 2.5 91.1% 1.10
Under 2.5 8.9% 11.23
Over 3.5 79.7% 1.25
Under 3.5 20.3% 4.93
Over 4.5 64.1% 1.56
Under 4.5 35.9% 2.78

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 79.7% 1.25
No 20.3% 4.93

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina / Draw 87.8% 1.14
PAS Giannina / AOK Kerkyra 87.8% 1.14
Draw / AOK Kerkyra 24.4% 4.09

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.6
0.5
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
1.4
2.8
2.2
1.2
0.5
0.2
2
3.0
5.0
4.2
2.4
1.0
0.3
3
3.8
6.4
5.4
3.0
1.3
0.4
4
3.6
6.1
5.1
2.9
1.2
0.4
5
2.8
4.7
3.9
2.2
0.9
0.3
Rows: PAS Giannina goals. Columns: AOK Kerkyra goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.