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Sunday 25 September 2011, 18:15 Stadio Panetolikou Full time
56% 13% 32%
Home win
55.9%
Draw
12.5%
Away win
31.5%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos 55.9% 1.79
Draw 12.5% 7.98
PAS Giannina 31.5% 3.17

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 100.0% 1.00
Under 0.5 0.0% 9,090.91
Over 1.5 100.0% 1.00
Under 1.5 0.0% 2,325.58
Over 2.5 99.7% 1.00
Under 2.5 0.3% 362.32
Over 3.5 99.0% 1.01
Under 3.5 1.0% 96.62
Over 4.5 97.1% 1.03
Under 4.5 2.9% 34.01

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 98.5% 1.02
No 1.5% 66.23

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos / Draw 68.5% 1.46
Panetolikos / PAS Giannina 87.5% 1.14
Draw / PAS Giannina 44.1% 2.27

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
1
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.4
0.4
0.4
2
0.1
0.3
0.7
1.0
1.2
1.1
3
0.1
0.6
1.3
1.9
2.2
2.0
4
0.2
0.8
1.8
2.7
3.0
2.7
5
0.2
0.9
2.0
3.0
3.4
3.0
Rows: Panetolikos goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.