Skip to content
Σ SigmaGoal
ΕΛ EN
Sign in
Saturday 22 October 2011, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
Panathinaikos
4–0
HT 3–0
Ergotelis
53% 24% 24%
Home win
52.5%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
23.9%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 52.5% 1.90 — —
Draw 23.6% 4.24 — —
Ergotelis 23.9% 4.18 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.0% 1.05 — —
Under 0.5 5.0% 20.05 — —
Over 1.5 82.5% 1.21 — —
Under 1.5 17.5% 5.73 — —
Over 2.5 60.5% 1.65 — —
Under 2.5 39.5% 2.53 — —
Over 3.5 38.2% 2.62 — —
Under 3.5 61.8% 1.62 — —
Over 4.5 20.7% 4.83 — —
Under 4.5 79.3% 1.26 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.8% 1.65 — —
No 39.2% 2.55 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 76.1% 1.31 — —
Panathinaikos / Ergotelis 76.4% 1.31 — —
Draw / Ergotelis 47.5% 2.11 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.0
4.8
3.3
1.3
0.4
0.1
1
7.7
10.8
6.3
2.6
0.8
0.2
2
7.9
9.7
6.0
2.4
0.7
0.2
3
5.0
6.2
3.8
1.5
0.5
0.1
4
2.4
2.9
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.1
5
0.9
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Ergotelis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Panathinaikos
W W D W
Ergotelis
W L L L D

Head to head

Mar 2015 Ergotelis 0-2 Panathinaikos Jan 2015 Panathinaikos 5-0 Ergotelis Feb 2014 Panathinaikos 1-1 Ergotelis Oct 2013 Ergotelis 0-2 Panathinaikos Feb 2012 Ergotelis 0-2 Panathinaikos

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.