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Saturday 18 February 2012, 17:15 Pankritio Stadio Full time
22% 26% 52%
Home win
21.6%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
52.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis 21.6% 4.63
Draw 26.0% 3.85
Panathinaikos 52.4% 1.91

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.0% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.0% 12.43
Over 1.5 74.2% 1.35
Under 1.5 25.8% 3.87
Over 2.5 48.4% 2.06
Under 2.5 51.6% 1.94
Over 3.5 26.6% 3.75
Under 3.5 73.4% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.4% 8.05
Under 4.5 87.6% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.8% 1.97
No 49.2% 2.03

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis / Draw 47.6% 2.10
Ergotelis / Panathinaikos 74.0% 1.35
Draw / Panathinaikos 78.4% 1.28

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.0
11.4
9.9
5.4
2.2
0.7
1
6.4
12.4
9.6
5.2
2.2
0.7
2
3.5
5.7
4.7
2.5
1.0
0.3
3
1.1
1.8
1.5
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.3
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Ergotelis goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.