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Sunday 12 February 2012, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
59% 24% 17%
Home win
58.5%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
17.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 58.5% 1.71
Draw 24.3% 4.12
Xanthi FC 17.2% 5.82

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.2% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.8% 12.90
Over 1.5 74.8% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.2% 3.97
Over 2.5 49.3% 2.03
Under 2.5 50.7% 1.97
Over 3.5 27.4% 3.65
Under 3.5 72.6% 1.38
Over 4.5 12.9% 7.75
Under 4.5 87.1% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.7% 2.05
No 51.3% 1.95

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 82.8% 1.21
Panathinaikos / Xanthi FC 75.7% 1.32
Draw / Xanthi FC 41.5% 2.41

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.8
5.5
2.6
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
12.0
11.6
4.7
1.4
0.3
0.1
2
11.3
9.7
4.2
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
6.7
5.8
2.5
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
3.0
2.6
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.