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Sunday 5 February 2012, 19:30 SKODA Xanthi Arena Full time
56% 28% 16%
Home win
55.9%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
16.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC 55.9% 1.79
Draw 27.9% 3.59
Aris Thessalonikis 16.2% 6.16

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.6% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.4% 8.05
Over 1.5 63.8% 1.57
Under 1.5 36.2% 2.77
Over 2.5 36.2% 2.76
Under 2.5 63.8% 1.57
Over 3.5 17.0% 5.90
Under 3.5 83.0% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.7% 15.03
Under 4.5 93.3% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.3% 2.61
No 61.7% 1.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC / Draw 83.8% 1.19
Xanthi FC / Aris Thessalonikis 72.1% 1.39
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 44.1% 2.27

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.4
7.2
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
16.6
12.3
3.9
0.9
0.1
0.0
2
12.7
8.5
2.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
6.2
4.2
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
2.3
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Xanthi FC goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.