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Saturday 14 January 2012, 17:15 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
48% 27% 24%
Home win
48.4%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
24.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 48.4% 2.07
Draw 27.2% 3.67
Xanthi FC 24.4% 4.09

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.3% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.7% 11.53
Over 1.5 72.7% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.3% 3.66
Over 2.5 46.5% 2.15
Under 2.5 53.5% 1.87
Over 3.5 24.9% 4.01
Under 3.5 75.1% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.3% 8.83
Under 4.5 88.7% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.5% 1.98
No 49.5% 2.02

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 75.6% 1.32
AEK Athens FC / Xanthi FC 72.8% 1.37
Draw / Xanthi FC 51.6% 1.94

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.7
7.3
4.1
1.4
0.3
0.1
1
11.4
13.0
6.2
2.1
0.5
0.1
2
9.2
9.3
4.7
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
4.7
4.7
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.8
1.8
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.