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Saturday 10 December 2011, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
71% 18% 11%
Home win
70.9%
Draw
18.4%
Away win
10.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 70.9% 1.41
Draw 18.4% 5.44
PAS Giannina 10.7% 9.36

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.0% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.0% 19.83
Over 1.5 81.9% 1.22
Under 1.5 18.1% 5.52
Over 2.5 59.7% 1.68
Under 2.5 40.3% 2.48
Over 3.5 37.3% 2.68
Under 3.5 62.7% 1.59
Over 4.5 20.0% 5.00
Under 4.5 80.0% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.6% 2.02
No 50.4% 1.98

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 89.3% 1.12
AEK Athens FC / PAS Giannina 81.6% 1.23
Draw / PAS Giannina 29.1% 3.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.0
3.1
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
10.0
8.8
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
12.0
9.5
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
9.2
7.3
2.9
0.8
0.1
0.0
4
5.3
4.2
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
2.4
1.9
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.