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Saturday 19 November 2011, 17:15 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
AEK Athens FC
2–0
HT 1–0
Asteras Tripolis
67% 23% 11%
Home win
66.8%
Draw
22.5%
Away win
10.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 66.8% 1.50 — —
Draw 22.5% 4.44 — —
Asteras Tripolis 10.7% 9.34 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.6% 1.10 — —
Under 0.5 9.4% 10.65 — —
Over 1.5 70.4% 1.42 — —
Under 1.5 29.6% 3.37 — —
Over 2.5 43.8% 2.28 — —
Under 2.5 56.2% 1.78 — —
Over 3.5 22.7% 4.40 — —
Under 3.5 77.3% 1.29 — —
Over 4.5 10.0% 10.05 — —
Under 4.5 90.0% 1.11 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.2% 2.62 — —
No 61.8% 1.62 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 89.3% 1.12 — —
AEK Athens FC / Asteras Tripolis 77.5% 1.29 — —
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 33.2% 3.01 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.4
4.6
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
15.6
10.2
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.9
8.8
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
9.1
5.4
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
4.2
2.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.5
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

AEK Athens FC
W D L W L
Asteras Tripolis
L D D L W

Head to head

Jan 2026 Asteras Tripolis 0-1 AEK Athens FC Aug 2025 AEK Athens FC 1-0 Asteras Tripolis Feb 2025 Asteras Tripolis 0-3 AEK Athens FC Nov 2024 AEK Athens FC 3-0 Asteras Tripolis Feb 2024 AEK Athens FC 4-2 Asteras Tripolis Oct 2023 Asteras Tripolis 0-3 AEK Athens FC

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.