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Saturday 22 October 2011, 17:15 Gipedo Astera Tripolis Full time
23% 26% 50%
Home win
23.3%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
50.5%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 23.3% 4.30
Draw 26.3% 3.80
Xanthi FC 50.5% 1.98

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.1% 1.09
Under 0.5 7.9% 12.65
Over 1.5 74.6% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.4% 3.93
Over 2.5 49.0% 2.04
Under 2.5 51.0% 1.96
Over 3.5 27.1% 3.69
Under 3.5 72.9% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.7% 7.87
Under 4.5 87.3% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.9% 1.93
No 48.1% 2.08

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 49.5% 2.02
Asteras Tripolis / Xanthi FC 73.7% 1.36
Draw / Xanthi FC 76.7% 1.30

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.9
10.9
9.4
5.0
2.0
0.7
1
6.6
12.5
9.5
5.1
2.1
0.7
2
3.7
6.0
4.9
2.6
1.1
0.3
3
1.3
2.0
1.7
0.9
0.4
0.1
4
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.