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Sunday 16 October 2011, 16:00 SKODA Xanthi Arena Full time
59% 22% 19%
Home win
58.9%
Draw
22.5%
Away win
18.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC 58.9% 1.70
Draw 22.5% 4.45
Panathinaikos 18.7% 5.35

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.7% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.3% 18.81
Over 1.5 81.5% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.5% 5.39
Over 2.5 58.9% 1.70
Under 2.5 41.1% 2.43
Over 3.5 36.5% 2.74
Under 3.5 63.5% 1.57
Over 4.5 19.4% 5.16
Under 4.5 80.6% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.8% 1.76
No 43.2% 2.32

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC / Draw 81.3% 1.23
Xanthi FC / Panathinaikos 77.5% 1.29
Draw / Panathinaikos 41.1% 2.43

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.3
4.4
2.6
0.9
0.2
0.1
1
8.9
10.5
5.2
1.8
0.5
0.1
2
9.5
9.9
5.2
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
6.3
6.6
3.5
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
3.2
3.3
1.7
0.6
0.2
0.0
5
1.3
1.3
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Xanthi FC goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.