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Sunday 6 November 2011, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
Panathinaikos
3–2
HT 2–0
AEK Athens FC
70% 18% 13%
Home win
69.6%
Draw
17.6%
Away win
12.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 69.6% 1.44 — —
Draw 17.6% 5.69 — —
AEK Athens FC 12.8% 7.81 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.7% 1.03 — —
Under 0.5 3.3% 30.33 — —
Over 1.5 87.4% 1.14 — —
Under 1.5 12.6% 7.96 — —
Over 2.5 68.9% 1.45 — —
Under 2.5 31.1% 3.22 — —
Over 3.5 47.6% 2.10 — —
Under 3.5 52.4% 1.91 — —
Over 4.5 28.5% 3.51 — —
Under 4.5 71.5% 1.40 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.4% 1.68 — —
No 40.6% 2.46 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 87.2% 1.15 — —
Panathinaikos / AEK Athens FC 82.4% 1.21 — —
Draw / AEK Athens FC 30.4% 3.29 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.3
2.5
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
6.8
7.8
3.8
1.3
0.3
0.1
2
9.2
9.4
4.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
7.7
7.9
4.1
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
4.9
5.0
2.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
5
2.5
2.5
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Panathinaikos
W D W W W
AEK Athens FC
L W D L W

Head to head

May 2026 AEK Athens FC 2-1 Panathinaikos May 2026 Panathinaikos 0-0 AEK Athens FC Jan 2026 AEK Athens FC 4-0 Panathinaikos Nov 2025 Panathinaikos 2-3 AEK Athens FC May 2025 AEK Athens FC 1-2 Panathinaikos Apr 2025 Panathinaikos 3-1 AEK Athens FC

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.