Tuesday 3 January 2012, 19:30
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
Full time
84%
13%
4%
Home win
83.8%
Draw
12.7%
Away win
3.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.7% | 7.85 | — | — |
| Doxa Dramas | 3.5% | 28.54 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.8% | 17.17 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.2% | 4.72 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.8% | 5.96 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 29.1% | 3.43 | — | — |
| No | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC / Draw | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
| AEK Athens FC / Doxa Dramas | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Doxa Dramas | 16.2% | 6.16 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.8
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.6
|
5.5
|
1.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
17.5
|
6.6
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
14.7
|
5.5
|
1.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.3
|
3.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.7
|
1.8
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.