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Sunday 11 December 2011, 17:15 Pankritio Stadio Full time
67% 24% 9%
Home win
67.2%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
8.6%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis 67.2% 1.49
Draw 24.1% 4.14
Doxa Dramas 8.6% 11.59

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.9% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.1% 7.64
Over 1.5 61.9% 1.61
Under 1.5 38.1% 2.63
Over 2.5 34.4% 2.91
Under 2.5 65.6% 1.52
Over 3.5 15.7% 6.38
Under 3.5 84.3% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.0% 16.76
Under 4.5 94.0% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 28.6% 3.49
No 71.4% 1.40

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis / Draw 91.4% 1.09
Ergotelis / Doxa Dramas 75.9% 1.32
Draw / Doxa Dramas 32.8% 3.05

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.1
4.8
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
20.2
9.4
1.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
17.0
7.3
1.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
9.4
4.0
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
3.9
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Ergotelis goals. Columns: Doxa Dramas goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.