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Sunday 8 April 2012, 19:00 Kaftanzoglio Stadio Full time
23% 37% 41%
Home win
22.9%
Draw
36.5%
Away win
40.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Doxa Dramas 22.9% 4.37
Draw 36.5% 2.74
Ergotelis 40.6% 2.46

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 78.5% 1.27
Under 0.5 21.5% 4.65
Over 1.5 47.4% 2.11
Under 1.5 52.6% 1.90
Over 2.5 21.0% 4.77
Under 2.5 79.0% 1.27
Over 3.5 7.5% 13.31
Under 3.5 92.5% 1.08
Over 4.5 2.2% 45.00
Under 4.5 97.8% 1.02

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 29.3% 3.41
No 70.7% 1.41

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Doxa Dramas / Draw 59.4% 1.68
Doxa Dramas / Ergotelis 63.5% 1.58
Draw / Ergotelis 77.1% 1.30

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
21.5
18.8
9.2
2.9
0.7
0.1
1
12.4
13.1
5.8
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
4.1
3.9
1.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
0.9
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Doxa Dramas goals. Columns: Ergotelis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.