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Sunday 25 March 2012, 17:15 Stadio Zosimades Full time
49% 30% 21%
Home win
48.7%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
21.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina 48.7% 2.05
Draw 30.1% 3.32
Ergotelis 21.2% 4.72

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.8% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.2% 7.59
Over 1.5 62.4% 1.60
Under 1.5 37.6% 2.66
Over 2.5 34.7% 2.89
Under 2.5 65.4% 1.53
Over 3.5 15.9% 6.30
Under 3.5 84.1% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.1% 16.47
Under 4.5 93.9% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.1% 2.50
No 59.9% 1.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina / Draw 78.8% 1.27
PAS Giannina / Ergotelis 69.9% 1.43
Draw / Ergotelis 51.3% 1.95

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.2
8.8
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
15.6
13.4
4.9
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
10.7
8.3
3.2
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
4.7
3.6
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.5
1.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAS Giannina goals. Columns: Ergotelis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.