Sunday 12 February 2012, 17:15
Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis
Full time
53%
29%
18%
Home win
53.4%
Draw
28.5%
Away win
18.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris Thessalonikis | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Ergotelis | 18.1% | 5.53 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.3% | 8.11 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.9% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.1% | 5.83 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.8% | 14.81 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| No | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris Thessalonikis / Draw | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Aris Thessalonikis / Ergotelis | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Ergotelis | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.3
|
7.6
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.9
|
12.7
|
4.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.9
|
8.6
|
3.1
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.7
|
4.1
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2014
Aris Thessalonikis
0-2
Ergotelis
Dec 2013
Ergotelis
3-3
Aris Thessalonikis
Oct 2011
Ergotelis
1-1
Aris Thessalonikis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.