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Saturday 7 December 2013, 15:00 Pankritio Stadio Full time
51% 28% 21%
Home win
51.4%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
20.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis 51.4% 1.94
Draw 28.1% 3.56
Aris Thessalonikis 20.5% 4.88

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.8% 9.23
Over 1.5 67.5% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.5% 3.08
Over 2.5 40.2% 2.49
Under 2.5 59.8% 1.67
Over 3.5 19.9% 5.02
Under 3.5 80.1% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.3% 12.06
Under 4.5 91.7% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.0% 2.27
No 56.0% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis / Draw 79.5% 1.26
Ergotelis / Aris Thessalonikis 71.9% 1.39
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 48.6% 2.06

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.8
7.6
3.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
14.1
13.0
5.1
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
10.8
9.0
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
5.3
4.4
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.9
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Ergotelis goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.