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Saturday 26 October 2013, 19:30 Pankritio Stadio Full time
33% 31% 36%
Home win
33.3%
Draw
31.0%
Away win
35.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis 33.3% 3.00
Draw 31.0% 3.23
Panathinaikos 35.7% 2.80

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.7% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.3% 8.15
Over 1.5 64.5% 1.55
Under 1.5 35.5% 2.82
Over 2.5 36.8% 2.72
Under 2.5 63.2% 1.58
Over 3.5 17.4% 5.75
Under 3.5 82.6% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.9% 14.52
Under 4.5 93.1% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.5% 2.25
No 55.5% 1.80

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis / Draw 64.3% 1.56
Ergotelis / Panathinaikos 69.0% 1.45
Draw / Panathinaikos 66.7% 1.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.3
11.9
7.0
2.6
0.7
0.2
1
11.3
14.2
7.4
2.7
0.8
0.2
2
6.4
7.1
3.9
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
2.3
2.5
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.6
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Ergotelis goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.