Sunday 11 January 2015, 17:15
Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis
Full time
72%
19%
9%
Home win
72.3%
Draw
18.9%
Away win
8.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.9% | 5.28 | — | — |
| Ergotelis | 8.8% | 11.35 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.9% | 14.54 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.4% | 4.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.8% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.5% | 6.90 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
| No | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos / Draw | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Panathinaikos / Ergotelis | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Ergotelis | 27.7% | 3.60 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.9
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.1
|
8.9
|
2.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.6
|
8.9
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.4
|
6.4
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.6
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.4
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2015
Ergotelis
0-2
Panathinaikos
Feb 2014
Panathinaikos
1-1
Ergotelis
Oct 2013
Ergotelis
0-2
Panathinaikos
Feb 2012
Ergotelis
0-2
Panathinaikos
Oct 2011
Panathinaikos
4-0
Ergotelis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.