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Sunday 22 September 2013, 18:15 Pankritio Stadio Full time
42% 29% 28%
Home win
42.5%
Draw
29.1%
Away win
28.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis 42.5% 2.36
Draw 29.1% 3.43
Panionios 28.4% 3.52

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.8% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.2% 9.77
Over 1.5 69.0% 1.45
Under 1.5 31.0% 3.23
Over 2.5 41.9% 2.39
Under 2.5 58.1% 1.72
Over 3.5 21.3% 4.70
Under 3.5 78.7% 1.27
Over 4.5 9.1% 11.03
Under 4.5 90.9% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.1% 2.08
No 51.9% 1.93

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis / Draw 71.6% 1.40
Ergotelis / Panionios 70.9% 1.41
Draw / Panionios 57.5% 1.74

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.2
9.0
5.1
1.7
0.5
0.1
1
11.7
13.7
6.7
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
8.3
8.6
4.4
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
3.7
3.8
2.0
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.2
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Ergotelis goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.