Sunday 2 February 2014, 17:15
Stadio Néas Smírnis
Full time
50%
29%
21%
Home win
50.4%
Draw
28.5%
Away win
21.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panionios | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Ergotelis | 21.1% | 4.74 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.2% | 8.95 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.3% | 3.01 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.3% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.3% | 5.19 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.9% | 12.63 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| No | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panionios / Draw | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Panionios / Ergotelis | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Ergotelis | 49.6% | 2.01 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.2
|
7.9
|
3.6
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.2
|
13.1
|
5.1
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.7
|
8.9
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.1
|
4.2
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2015
Ergotelis
2-2
Panionios
Aug 2014
Panionios
2-1
Ergotelis
Sep 2013
Ergotelis
1-1
Panionios
Jan 2012
Ergotelis
1-0
Panionios
Aug 2011
Panionios
2-2
Ergotelis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.