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Saturday 11 January 2014, 19:30 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
64% 24% 13%
Home win
63.7%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
12.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 63.7% 1.57
Draw 23.7% 4.22
Panionios 12.6% 7.92

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.6% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.4% 10.60
Over 1.5 70.4% 1.42
Under 1.5 29.6% 3.38
Over 2.5 43.8% 2.28
Under 2.5 56.2% 1.78
Over 3.5 22.7% 4.40
Under 3.5 77.3% 1.29
Over 4.5 9.9% 10.05
Under 4.5 90.1% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.5% 2.47
No 59.5% 1.68

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 87.4% 1.14
Panathinaikos / Panionios 76.3% 1.31
Draw / Panionios 36.3% 2.75

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.4
5.2
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
15.0
10.9
3.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
13.9
9.1
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
8.2
5.4
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
3.6
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.3
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.