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Sunday 22 December 2013, 17:15 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
41% 26% 33%
Home win
40.7%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
33.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis 40.7% 2.46
Draw 26.1% 3.83
Ergotelis 33.2% 3.01

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.8% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.2% 16.08
Over 1.5 79.2% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.8% 4.80
Over 2.5 55.3% 1.81
Under 2.5 44.7% 2.24
Over 3.5 32.9% 3.04
Under 3.5 67.1% 1.49
Over 4.5 16.7% 5.97
Under 4.5 83.3% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.0% 1.69
No 41.0% 2.44

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis / Draw 66.8% 1.50
AEL Kallonis / Ergotelis 73.9% 1.35
Draw / Ergotelis 59.3% 1.69

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.2
6.9
5.1
2.3
0.8
0.2
1
7.8
12.2
7.9
3.6
1.2
0.3
2
6.5
8.8
6.0
2.7
0.9
0.3
3
3.3
4.5
3.1
1.4
0.5
0.1
4
1.3
1.7
1.2
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: AEL Kallonis goals. Columns: Ergotelis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.