Skip to content
Sunday 13 April 2014, 19:00 Pankritio Stadio Full time
61% 23% 15%
Home win
61.4%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
15.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis 61.4% 1.63
Draw 23.5% 4.26
AEL Kallonis 15.1% 6.62

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.2% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.8% 12.85
Over 1.5 74.6% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.4% 3.94
Over 2.5 49.1% 2.04
Under 2.5 50.9% 1.96
Over 3.5 27.2% 3.67
Under 3.5 72.8% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.8% 7.81
Under 4.5 87.2% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.9% 2.13
No 53.1% 1.88

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis / Draw 84.9% 1.18
Ergotelis / AEL Kallonis 76.5% 1.31
Draw / AEL Kallonis 38.6% 2.59

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.8
5.1
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
12.5
11.1
4.2
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
12.1
9.7
3.9
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
7.4
5.9
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
3.4
2.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.3
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Ergotelis goals. Columns: AEL Kallonis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.