Sunday 16 March 2014, 17:15
Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis
Full time
61%
25%
14%
Home win
60.7%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
13.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Ergotelis | 13.9% | 7.17 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.6% | 9.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.2% | 3.11 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.3% | 4.93 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.5% | 11.75 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| No | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis / Draw | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Asteras Tripolis / Ergotelis | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Ergotelis | 39.3% | 2.55 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.6
|
5.9
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.7
|
11.4
|
3.6
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.5
|
8.9
|
2.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.4
|
4.9
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.1
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2015
Asteras Tripolis
2-1
Ergotelis
Nov 2014
Ergotelis
1-4
Asteras Tripolis
Nov 2013
Ergotelis
0-1
Asteras Tripolis
Mar 2012
Asteras Tripolis
3-0
Ergotelis
Oct 2011
Ergotelis
2-0
Asteras Tripolis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.