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Sunday 9 February 2014, 15:00 Stadio Peristeriou Full time
45% 33% 22%
Home win
44.9%
Draw
33.3%
Away win
21.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos 44.9% 2.23
Draw 33.3% 3.00
Asteras Tripolis 21.8% 4.58

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 82.7% 1.21
Under 0.5 17.3% 5.78
Over 1.5 54.5% 1.84
Under 1.5 45.5% 2.20
Over 2.5 26.9% 3.71
Under 2.5 73.1% 1.37
Over 3.5 10.9% 9.20
Under 3.5 89.1% 1.12
Over 4.5 3.6% 27.50
Under 4.5 96.4% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.1% 2.93
No 65.9% 1.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos / Draw 78.2% 1.28
Atromitos / Asteras Tripolis 66.7% 1.50
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 55.1% 1.81

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
17.3
10.6
3.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
17.6
13.4
4.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
10.2
7.0
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
3.8
2.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
1.1
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atromitos goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.