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Wednesday 5 February 2014, 19:30 Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis Full time
42% 31% 27%
Home win
41.6%
Draw
31.0%
Away win
27.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 41.6% 2.40
Draw 31.0% 3.22
Panathinaikos 27.4% 3.66

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.1% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.9% 7.76
Over 1.5 63.2% 1.58
Under 1.5 36.8% 2.72
Over 2.5 35.4% 2.83
Under 2.5 64.6% 1.55
Over 3.5 16.4% 6.10
Under 3.5 83.6% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.3% 15.76
Under 4.5 93.7% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.7% 2.34
No 57.3% 1.74

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 72.6% 1.38
Asteras Tripolis / Panathinaikos 69.0% 1.45
Draw / Panathinaikos 58.4% 1.71

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.9
10.3
5.1
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
13.7
14.1
6.1
1.9
0.4
0.1
2
8.6
7.9
3.6
1.1
0.3
0.0
3
3.4
3.2
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.