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Sunday 19 January 2014, 17:15 Stadio Georgios Kamaras Full time
31% 28% 41%
Home win
31.4%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
40.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis 31.4% 3.18
Draw 27.9% 3.58
Asteras Tripolis 40.6% 2.46

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.6% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.4% 11.91
Over 1.5 73.5% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.5% 3.77
Over 2.5 47.4% 2.11
Under 2.5 52.6% 1.90
Over 3.5 25.8% 3.88
Under 3.5 74.2% 1.35
Over 4.5 11.9% 8.43
Under 4.5 88.1% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.8% 1.89
No 47.2% 2.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis / Draw 59.4% 1.68
Apollon Smirnis / Asteras Tripolis 72.1% 1.39
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 68.6% 1.46

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.4
9.8
7.3
3.4
1.2
0.3
1
8.3
13.3
8.7
4.0
1.4
0.4
2
5.4
7.5
5.2
2.4
0.8
0.2
3
2.1
3.0
2.0
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
0.6
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Apollon Smirnis goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.