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Sunday 15 December 2013, 17:15 Stadio Georgios Kamaras Full time
34% 30% 36%
Home win
33.6%
Draw
30.0%
Away win
36.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis 33.6% 2.97
Draw 30.0% 3.33
Panthrakikos 36.3% 2.75

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.9% 9.17
Over 1.5 67.5% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.5% 3.08
Over 2.5 40.2% 2.49
Under 2.5 59.8% 1.67
Over 3.5 19.9% 5.03
Under 3.5 80.1% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.3% 12.08
Under 4.5 91.7% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.3% 2.11
No 52.7% 1.90

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis / Draw 63.7% 1.57
Apollon Smirnis / Panthrakikos 70.0% 1.43
Draw / Panthrakikos 66.4% 1.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.9
11.1
7.0
2.7
0.8
0.2
1
10.5
14.1
7.8
3.0
0.9
0.2
2
6.3
7.4
4.4
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
2.4
2.8
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.7
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Apollon Smirnis goals. Columns: Panthrakikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.