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Saturday 30 November 2013, 19:30 Stadio Georgios Kamaras Full time
20% 27% 53%
Home win
20.0%
Draw
26.5%
Away win
53.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis 20.0% 5.00
Draw 26.5% 3.77
Panathinaikos 53.5% 1.87

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.9% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.1% 10.94
Over 1.5 71.4% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.6% 3.50
Over 2.5 44.9% 2.23
Under 2.5 55.1% 1.82
Over 3.5 23.7% 4.23
Under 3.5 76.3% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.5% 9.50
Under 4.5 89.5% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.3% 2.11
No 52.7% 1.90

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis / Draw 46.5% 2.15
Apollon Smirnis / Panathinaikos 73.5% 1.36
Draw / Panathinaikos 80.0% 1.25

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.1
12.7
10.7
5.7
2.3
0.7
1
6.7
12.5
9.4
5.0
2.0
0.6
2
3.3
5.2
4.1
2.2
0.9
0.3
3
1.0
1.5
1.2
0.6
0.3
0.1
4
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Apollon Smirnis goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.