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Saturday 9 November 2013, 19:30 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
29% 31% 40%
Home win
28.5%
Draw
31.0%
Away win
40.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 28.5% 3.50
Draw 31.0% 3.22
Panathinaikos 40.4% 2.47

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.3% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.7% 7.89
Over 1.5 63.6% 1.57
Under 1.5 36.4% 2.75
Over 2.5 35.9% 2.79
Under 2.5 64.1% 1.56
Over 3.5 16.7% 5.98
Under 3.5 83.3% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.5% 15.34
Under 4.5 93.5% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.3% 2.31
No 56.7% 1.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 59.6% 1.68
Aris Thessalonikis / Panathinaikos 69.0% 1.45
Draw / Panathinaikos 71.5% 1.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.7
13.2
8.3
3.3
1.0
0.2
1
10.5
14.1
7.9
3.1
0.9
0.2
2
5.3
6.3
3.7
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
1.7
2.0
1.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.