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Wednesday 18 December 2013, 15:00 Pankritio Stadio Full time
57% 25% 18%
Home win
56.5%
Draw
25.0%
Away win
18.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis 56.5% 1.77
Draw 25.0% 3.99
Apollon Smirnis 18.4% 5.43

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.9% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.1% 12.41
Over 1.5 74.0% 1.35
Under 1.5 26.0% 3.85
Over 2.5 48.3% 2.07
Under 2.5 51.7% 1.93
Over 3.5 26.5% 3.77
Under 3.5 73.5% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.3% 8.10
Under 4.5 87.7% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.9% 2.05
No 51.1% 1.96

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis / Draw 81.6% 1.23
Ergotelis / Apollon Smirnis 75.0% 1.33
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 43.5% 2.30

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.1
5.8
2.9
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
12.0
11.9
5.0
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
11.0
9.7
4.3
1.3
0.3
0.0
3
6.3
5.6
2.5
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
2.7
2.4
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.9
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Ergotelis goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.