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Thursday 19 December 2013, 19:30 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
31% 30% 39%
Home win
31.0%
Draw
30.0%
Away win
39.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 31.0% 3.22
Draw 30.0% 3.34
Asteras Tripolis 39.0% 2.56

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.0% 1.12
Under 0.5 11.0% 9.08
Over 1.5 67.3% 1.49
Under 1.5 32.7% 3.05
Over 2.5 39.9% 2.51
Under 2.5 60.1% 1.66
Over 3.5 19.7% 5.08
Under 3.5 80.3% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.1% 12.28
Under 4.5 91.9% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.9% 2.13
No 53.1% 1.88

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 61.0% 1.64
Aris Thessalonikis / Asteras Tripolis 70.0% 1.43
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 69.0% 1.45

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.0
11.7
7.6
3.1
0.9
0.2
1
10.0
14.0
8.1
3.3
1.0
0.2
2
5.7
7.0
4.3
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
2.0
2.5
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.5
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.