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Monday 11 November 2013, 19:30 Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis Full time
54% 28% 19%
Home win
53.9%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
18.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 53.9% 1.85
Draw 27.5% 3.63
Xanthi FC 18.5% 5.39

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.9% 9.17
Over 1.5 67.3% 1.49
Under 1.5 32.7% 3.05
Over 2.5 40.0% 2.50
Under 2.5 60.0% 1.67
Over 3.5 19.7% 5.07
Under 3.5 80.3% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.2% 12.22
Under 4.5 91.8% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.7% 2.34
No 57.3% 1.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 81.5% 1.23
Asteras Tripolis / Xanthi FC 72.5% 1.38
Draw / Xanthi FC 46.1% 2.17

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.9
7.2
3.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
14.6
12.6
4.6
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
11.6
9.0
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
5.8
4.5
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.2
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.