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Saturday 19 October 2013, 18:15 Stadio Toumbas Full time
57% 26% 17%
Home win
57.0%
Draw
25.6%
Away win
17.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 57.0% 1.75
Draw 25.6% 3.91
Asteras Tripolis 17.4% 5.76

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.9% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.1% 10.99
Over 1.5 71.4% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.6% 3.50
Over 2.5 45.0% 2.22
Under 2.5 55.0% 1.82
Over 3.5 23.7% 4.22
Under 3.5 76.3% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.5% 9.48
Under 4.5 89.5% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.7% 2.19
No 54.3% 1.84

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 82.6% 1.21
PAOK / Asteras Tripolis 74.4% 1.34
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 43.0% 2.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.1
6.1
2.8
0.7
0.2
0.0
1
13.3
12.0
4.6
1.2
0.3
0.0
2
11.7
9.4
3.8
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
6.5
5.2
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
2.7
2.2
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.