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Sunday 1 September 2013, 19:15 Stadio Toumbas Full time
4–1
HT 1–0
65% 23% 13%
Home win
64.5%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
12.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 64.5% 1.55
Draw 22.8% 4.39
Panionios 12.7% 7.89

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.6% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.4% 11.91
Over 1.5 72.9% 1.37
Under 1.5 27.1% 3.69
Over 2.5 46.9% 2.13
Under 2.5 53.1% 1.88
Over 3.5 25.4% 3.94
Under 3.5 74.6% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.6% 8.63
Under 4.5 88.4% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.9% 2.33
No 57.1% 1.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 87.3% 1.15
PAOK / Panionios 77.2% 1.30
Draw / Panionios 35.5% 2.82

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.4
4.8
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
13.9
10.7
3.5
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
13.4
9.3
3.2
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
8.3
5.8
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
3.9
2.7
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.4
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.