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Sunday 21 April 2013, 19:00 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
86% 11% 3%
Home win
85.8%
Draw
10.8%
Away win
3.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 85.8% 1.17
Draw 10.8% 9.30
Panionios 3.5% 28.81

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.2% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.8% 26.14
Over 1.5 84.9% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.1% 6.63
Over 2.5 64.9% 1.54
Under 2.5 35.1% 2.85
Over 3.5 42.9% 2.33
Under 3.5 57.1% 1.75
Over 4.5 24.5% 4.08
Under 4.5 75.5% 1.32

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.6% 2.81
No 64.4% 1.55

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 96.5% 1.04
Olympiakos Piraeus / Panionios 89.2% 1.12
Draw / Panionios 14.2% 7.03

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.8
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
9.9
5.1
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
14.6
6.9
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
14.0
6.6
1.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
10.0
4.7
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
5.8
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.