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Sunday 14 April 2013, 19:00 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
71% 20% 9%
Home win
71.3%
Draw
19.7%
Away win
9.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 71.3% 1.40
Draw 19.7% 5.09
Panathinaikos 9.0% 11.11

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.5% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.5% 13.32
Over 1.5 74.9% 1.33
Under 1.5 25.1% 3.99
Over 2.5 49.7% 2.01
Under 2.5 50.3% 1.99
Over 3.5 27.7% 3.61
Under 3.5 72.3% 1.38
Over 4.5 13.1% 7.62
Under 4.5 86.9% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.7% 2.52
No 60.3% 1.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 91.0% 1.10
Olympiakos Piraeus / Panathinaikos 80.4% 1.24
Draw / Panathinaikos 28.7% 3.49

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.5
3.6
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
13.9
9.1
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
14.9
8.9
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
10.3
6.1
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
5.3
3.2
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.2
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.