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Sunday 7 April 2013, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
63% 23% 14%
Home win
62.6%
Draw
23.4%
Away win
14.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 62.6% 1.60
Draw 23.4% 4.27
Panionios 14.0% 7.17

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.7% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.3% 12.02
Over 1.5 73.2% 1.37
Under 1.5 26.8% 3.73
Over 2.5 47.3% 2.12
Under 2.5 52.7% 1.90
Over 3.5 25.6% 3.90
Under 3.5 74.4% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.8% 8.50
Under 4.5 88.2% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.4% 2.25
No 55.6% 1.80

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 86.0% 1.16
Panathinaikos / Panionios 76.6% 1.31
Draw / Panionios 37.4% 2.68

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.3
5.1
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
13.4
11.0
3.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
12.8
9.5
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
7.8
5.8
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
3.6
2.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.3
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.