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Saturday 9 March 2013, 17:15 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
69% 21% 10%
Home win
69.5%
Draw
20.8%
Away win
9.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 69.5% 1.44
Draw 20.8% 4.80
AOK Kerkyra 9.7% 10.32

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.8% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.2% 12.13
Over 1.5 73.1% 1.37
Under 1.5 26.9% 3.72
Over 2.5 47.2% 2.12
Under 2.5 52.8% 1.90
Over 3.5 25.6% 3.91
Under 3.5 74.4% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.7% 8.52
Under 4.5 88.3% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.1% 2.56
No 60.9% 1.64

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 90.3% 1.11
Panathinaikos / AOK Kerkyra 79.2% 1.26
Draw / AOK Kerkyra 30.5% 3.28

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.2
4.0
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
14.6
9.6
2.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
14.9
8.9
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
9.8
5.8
1.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
4.8
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.9
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: AOK Kerkyra goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.