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Saturday 23 February 2013, 17:15 Stadio Toumbas Full time
3–1
HT 3–0
72% 20% 8%
Home win
72.0%
Draw
20.0%
Away win
8.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 72.0% 1.39
Draw 20.0% 5.01
AOK Kerkyra 8.0% 12.51

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.3% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.7% 11.46
Over 1.5 71.7% 1.39
Under 1.5 28.3% 3.54
Over 2.5 45.6% 2.20
Under 2.5 54.4% 1.84
Over 3.5 24.2% 4.13
Under 3.5 75.8% 1.32
Over 4.5 10.9% 9.22
Under 4.5 89.1% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.0% 2.85
No 65.0% 1.54

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 92.0% 1.09
PAOK / AOK Kerkyra 80.0% 1.25
Draw / AOK Kerkyra 28.0% 3.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.7
3.7
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
15.8
8.9
2.1
0.4
0.0
0.0
2
16.2
8.3
2.1
0.4
0.0
0.0
3
10.7
5.5
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
5.3
2.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
2.1
1.1
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: AOK Kerkyra goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.